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Sebastian Korda vs Tommy Paul Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Korda vs Paul analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Sebastian Korda vs Tommy Paul Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Korda 4 - 1 Paul

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Korda has won 50.31% of points on their second serve, while Paul has won 54.83%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Korda, in recent form, has won 51.58% of their opponent's second serve points, while Paul has won 53.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.65% and 34.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Korda has saved 58.76% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Paul has saved 64.76% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Korda has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 35/ 25), with Paul winning 63.89% (W/L 46/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Korda has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 13/ 7), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57). Paul has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 122/ 68), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 23/ 15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12), where as Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 63.33% of matches (W/L 19/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Korda winning 4 times and Paul being victorious 1 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Korda winning 10 and Paul winning 5. The last match between Korda and Paul was at the Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch, 14-06-2024, Quarterfinals, Grass with Sebastian Korda getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:1:24.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Korda and Paul have played a deciding set 3 times, with Korda winning 2 times and Paul 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Korda winning 0, and Paul 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Korda has played against opponents with an average rank of 122.47 while Paul has played against players with an average rank of 139.76.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Korda has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Paul has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Korda has converted 40.34% of breakpoint opportunities, and Paul has converted 42.91% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

26

Rank

23

High

23

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

1

2

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

13

Rank

12

High

27

Age

R

Plays

Tommy Paul

12

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

6

Minor

4

Total

1

2

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W L W W L W W W W L

Form

W W W W L W W L W L

60% (226-151)

Career Total W/L

64% (406-233)

58% (19-14)

YTD W/L

69% (22-10)

$3,810,985

Career Prize Money

$5,922,800

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Korda VS Paul H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sebastian Korda Tommy Paul
All H2H Matches 4 1
Sets Won 10 5
Games Won 76 59
Aces (Total) 28 13
DFs (Total) 6 18
Avg Match Time 2:1:24 2:1:24
1st Serve % 68% (285/422) 60% (264/442)
1st Serve Win% 73% (209/285) 67% (178/264)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (71/137) 47% (84/178)
BPs Won% (Total) 46% (19/41) 25% (10/40)
Return Points W% 41% (180/442) 34% (142/422)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (4/4) 0% (0/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (3/3) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (3/0)

Korda VS Paul H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
61% ( 94 of 155)
1st Serve %
69% ( 89 of 129)
3
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 68 of 94)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 64 of 89)
54% ( 33 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
35% ( 54 of 155)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 47 of 129)
148
Total Points Won
136
6-3 5-7 6-1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
61% ( 60 of 98)
1st Serve %
62% ( 59 of 95)
9
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
32% ( 31 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 39 of 95)
106
Total Points Won
87
6-3 6-3
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve %
50% ( 25 of 50)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
39% ( 7 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
66
Total Points Won
48
4-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
67% ( 58 of 87)
1st Serve %
66% ( 55 of 83)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
62% ( 36 of 58)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
38% ( 33 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 37 of 83)
91
Total Points Won
79

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sebastian Korda Tommy Paul
YTD W/L 58% (19/14) 69% (22/10)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (45/37) 66% (55/28)
Games Win/Loss 52% (412/387) 56% (424/338)
Hard Win/Loss 57% (8/6) 63% (10/6)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (5/5) 70% (7/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (2/2) 100% (4/0)
Grass Win/Loss 80% (4/1) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.68 0.43
Aces Total 267 162
DFs per game 0.16 0.15
DFs Total 61 57
Avg Match Time 1:43:2 1:53:7
Avg Opp Rank 126.09 134.72
1st Serve % 61% (1491/2461) 60% (1461/2424)
1st Serve W% 73% (1092/1491) 70% (1030/1461)
2nd Serve W% 50% (488/970) 55% (528/963)
BPs Won% Total 40% (94/233) 43% (112/261)
Return Pts W% 38% (966/2554) 42% (1049/2507)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 67% (4/2)
Masters W/L 50% (5/5) 69% (9/4)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 56% (9/7) 69% (9/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 56% (15/27) 72% (18/25)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 67% (4/6)
TBs Win% (Total) 46% (6/13) 57% (4/7)
Deciding Set W% 63% (5/8) 55% (6/11)
1st set W, W 95% (19/18) 83% (23/19)
1st set W, L 5% (19/1) 13% (23/3)
1st set L, W 7% (14/1) 33% (9/3)

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
53% ( 30 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 38 of 72)
71
Total Points Won
58
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
58% ( 33 of 57)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
81% ( 13 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 9 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Luca Nardi
59% ( 44 of 75)
1st Serve %
67% ( 60 of 89)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
84% ( 37 of 44)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 37 of 60)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
74
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tristan Schoolkate
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
15
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
84% ( 36 of 43)
1st Serve Won
89% ( 32 of 36)
80% ( 16 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
17% ( 11 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 65)
71
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
L
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Soon-Woo Kwon
69% ( 79 of 114)
1st Serve %
64% ( 78 of 121)
13
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65% ( 51 of 79)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
40% ( 46 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 52 of 121)
120
Total Points Won
115
W
6-4 6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Harold Mayot
55% ( 51 of 93)
1st Serve %
63% ( 64 of 101)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
57% ( 24 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 43 of 101)
106
Total Points Won
88
W
6-2 7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Korda
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve %
60% ( 32 of 53)
8
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
90% ( 27 of 30)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 10 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 21 of 53)
61
Total Points Won
42
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Flavio Cobolli
50% ( 50 of 101)
1st Serve %
54% ( 65 of 120)
4
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
4
78% ( 39 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 48 of 65)
59% ( 30 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 32 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 43 of 120)
112
Total Points Won
109
W
7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 H2H

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alexei Popyrin
66% ( 57 of 87)
1st Serve %
75% ( 79 of 105)
10
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 53 of 79)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
29% ( 25 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 42 of 105)
104
Total Points Won
88
W
5-7 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 77 of 106)
1st Serve %
56% ( 64 of 115)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
0
66% ( 51 of 77)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
38% ( 11 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 23 of 51)
47% ( 9 of 19)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
42% ( 44 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 57 of 115)
119
Total Points Won
102
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Fabio Fognini
50% ( 31 of 62)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
7
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
71% ( 22 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 16 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 37 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
44
W
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pedro Cachin
55% ( 37 of 67)
1st Serve %
59% ( 54 of 91)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
50% ( 8 of 16)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 51 of 91)
97
Total Points Won
61
W
6-2 6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 78 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
53% ( 21 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
38% ( 45 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 30 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
103
L
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Hubert Hurkacz
69% ( 81 of 117)
1st Serve %
54% ( 52 of 97)
3
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
1
54% ( 44 of 81)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 32 of 52)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
45% ( 53 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 47 of 97)
111
Total Points Won
103
W
7-5 3-6 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59% ( 23 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
58
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Dominik Koepfer
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 79)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 40 of 79)
77
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve %
60% ( 33 of 55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
33% ( 22 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
67
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

Korda Vs Paul Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Korda are available here and Paul photos here.


Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Korda

cinch Championships - London

Korda vs Humbert H2H Pick , could play in The Quarterfinals

Korda vs Arnaldi H2H Pick , could play in The Quarterfinals

Mannarino vs Korda H2H Pick , could play in The Second round

Dimitrov vs Korda H2H Pick , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Tommy Paul

cinch Championships - London

Draper vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals

Navone vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals

Cerundolo vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals

Fokina vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Second round

Tabilo vs Paul H2H Prediction , could play in The Second round

Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

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